Thursday, August 28, 2008

You Know They're Sweating

They're smiling now, but I just noticed this post on the Miami Herald's Naked Politics blog. Lesley Clark, Washington correspondent for the Herald, points to a recent poll conducted by Survey USA which reports that the race for US Congressional District 21 [map] (represented by Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart, and challenged by Raul Martinez) is very close. And, Martinez is ahead by 2 points!

Clark reports: "The poll of 632 likely voters was taken Aug. 24 to 26 for Roll Call by Survey USA, an automated opinion research firm. Voters were allowed to respond in English or Spanish. It has a margin of error of 4 percentage points."

In my opinion, the sample is small, but you never know. The photo above also shows Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (on the right) who's being challenged in November by Joe Garcia. Other recent polling shows that the Diaz-Balart brothers are facing a very tight race. And, other demographic factors in South Florida could tilt against the Republican party in the coming national elections.

[Here's the link to the questions, methodology, graphs and results.]